The results, which began trickling in late Thursday night, paint a grim picture for the opposition coalition that had hoped to use the mini-polls as a show of strength ahead of the 2027 General Election.
Instead, early figures suggest a sweeping victory for candidates aligned with President William Ruto’s administration.
In several key battlegrounds, including Mbeere North, Malava, Kasipul and Narok Town, United Opposition candidates failed to gain traction, with voters appearing to favor rivals backed by the ruling coalition.
Analysts say the results signal a shifting political landscape and raise questions about Gachagua’s influence both within the opposition and nationally.
Observers note that the by-elections were widely seen as a test of Gachagua’s ability to consolidate support after months of political friction and competing power blocs.
The poor performance of candidates associated with his camp now threatens to weaken his bargaining power in ongoing opposition realignment talks.
Supporters of the ruling coalition celebrated throughout the night, calling the provisional results a clear endorsement of President Ruto’s leadership and development agenda.
However, opposition leaders urged their supporters to remain calm and wait for official tallies from the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC).
Political analysts warn that the losses could force a major re-evaluation within the United Opposition, as parties strategize on how to regain public confidence before the next national polls.
The final results are expected to be announced by IEBC once verification is complete.
