Supporters of the opposition now believe that a united front led by Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka could defeat President William Ruto by a wide margin if elections were held today.
The poll graphic, which has been circulating widely on social media, suggests that Kalonzo would command close to half of the total voter support.
In contrast, President Ruto is shown with slightly over 20 percent. Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i is placed close to Ruto, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua trails far behind.
Although the figures are not from a scientific national survey, they have excited opposition supporters.
Many argue that the numbers reflect growing public anger over the high cost of living, heavy taxation, and dissatisfaction with government leadership.
To them, the poll signals that voters may be ready for change.
Kalonzo Musyoka’s allies say he stands out as a unifying figure. They describe him as calm, experienced, and capable of working with leaders from different regions and political backgrounds.
Having served both in government and in opposition, they believe he understands how power works and how to use it with restraint.
Supporters also point to Kalonzo’s long political journey, saying it gives him credibility and patience needed to hold together a broad coalition.
In past elections, opposition divisions have often weakened their chances. This time, they argue, unity could be the deciding factor.
However, critics warn against reading too much into online polls. Political analysts remind Kenyans that social media trends do not always reflect real voting patterns.
They note that regional turnout, voter mobilisation, and last-minute alliances often change the direction of elections.
There are also doubts about whether opposition leaders can remain united for long. Past attempts at unity have collapsed due to personal ambition and power struggles.
Without strong organisation and a clear campaign strategy, early optimism may fade.